LOCIFRA

Open a restaurant in Toronto

Toronto has 3,456 businesses tagged “Restaurant” mapped on OpenStreetMap. Per-company turnover is not published in this country: the analysis instead uses official population figures, average household spending (Eurostat) and real business density by zone.

The table below compares population, average spend and real competition zone by zone, to estimate where demand exceeds supply.

Explore Toronto on the interactive map →

Population and deficit index by zone

ZoneResidentsSpend/resident/yearRestaurant demandRestaurant in the zone (equivalent radius)Residents/businessDeficit index
Beaches-East York108,500€24,700€128.6M11991246
Davenport104,730€24,700€124.2M19055128
Don Valley East94,335€24,700€111.8M591,59981
Don Valley North112,590€24,700€133.5M452,502100
Don Valley West101,025€24,700€119.8M15067434
Eglinton-Lawrence114,820€24,700€136.1M14082042
Etobicoke Centre117,200€24,700€139.0M393,005100
Etobicoke North115,120€24,700€136.5M11798450
Etobicoke-Lakeshore139,920€24,700€165.9M18177339
Humber River-Black Creek111,200€24,700€131.8M552,022100
Parkdale-High Park104,715€24,700€124.2M14671736
Scarborough Centre111,560€24,700€132.3M971,15058
Scarborough North94,025€24,700€111.5M741,27165
Scarborough Southwest110,095€24,700€130.5M821,34368
Scarborough-Agincourt103,690€24,700€122.9M881,17860
Scarborough-Guildwood102,755€24,700€121.8M412,506100
Scarborough-Rouge Park101,485€24,700€120.3M303,383100
Spadina-Fort York135,400€24,700€160.5M59722712
Toronto Centre116,930€24,700€138.6M26344523
Toronto-Danforth104,555€24,700€124.0M25940421
Toronto-St. Paul's114,095€24,700€135.3M13783342
University-Rosedale102,385€24,700€121.4M5961729
Willowdale117,130€24,700€138.9M16073237
York Centre107,355€24,700€127.3M861,24863
York South-Weston115,675€24,700€137.1M721,60782

How these numbers are calculated

The zone breakdown uses the same model as the rest of Locifra: E = N x s (residents times average annual spend per resident, from Eurostat/official household-spending statistics) is the zone's spending potential; D = E x fi is the category's share of it. Category businesses within the zone's equivalent radius (r = square root of area/pi, between 0.9 and 6 km from the centre -- no longer a fixed 900 m circle, so a large or sparsely built zone doesn't look falsely empty) give n; sigma = N / n is residents per business, compared against a market threshold for the deficit index delta (if the zone has 20,000+ residents and n is still 0 even with this wider radius, no index is computed: it shows “—”, because a zero that large is usually an OpenStreetMap coverage gap, not a genuine absence of demand). Per-company turnover is not published in this country: there is no open register of individual companies' revenue, so Locifra shows no turnover column at all for this country — that is not a small sample by chance, it is a real limit of the official data that exists.

the full methodology →

Model limits (v0). Model v0: a single average-spend value per zone (based on official statistics, not yet income-adjusted), a radius equivalent to the zone's area (r = square root of area/pi, between 0.9 and 6 km from the centre; neighbouring zones can overlap). If a zone has 20,000+ residents and the count of businesses in this category is still 0 at that radius, no deficit index is computed: it shows “—” instead of a number. No correction for non-residents (tourists, commuters). Scope: local retail and proximity services (B2C) only, not B2B or e-commerce. Per-company turnover is not published in this country: Locifra shows no turnover column at all for this country — not because the sample happens to be small, but because the official data does not exist at company level.

Frequently asked questions

How many businesses tagged “Restaurant” are there in Toronto?

According to OpenStreetMap, 3,456 businesses of this type are mapped in Toronto (as of 2026-09-14).

Is per-company turnover available for restaurant in Toronto?

No: this country does not publish individual companies' turnover. Locifra instead estimates demand for this category from official population figures and Eurostat household-spending statistics, cross-checked against real business density.

Where is it worth opening a restaurant in Toronto?

The zone with the highest deficit index is Don Valley North (index 100/100, 2,502 residents per business, market threshold 984): a higher index means less competition relative to resident demand, not a guaranteed gap.

Other categories in Toronto

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