LOCIFRA

Open a takeout spot in Toronto

Toronto has 2,826 businesses tagged “Takeout” mapped on OpenStreetMap. Per-company turnover is not published in this country: the analysis instead uses official population figures, average household spending (Eurostat) and real business density by zone.

The table below compares population, average spend and real competition zone by zone, to estimate where demand exceeds supply.

Explore Toronto on the interactive map →

Population and deficit index by zone

ZoneResidentsSpend/resident/yearTakeout demandTakeout in the zone (equivalent radius)Residents/businessDeficit index
Beaches-East York108,500€24,700€18.8M771,40950
Davenport104,730€24,700€18.1M971,08038
Don Valley East94,335€24,700€16.3M651,45151
Don Valley North112,590€24,700€19.5M532,12475
Don Valley West101,025€24,700€17.5M10794433
Eglinton-Lawrence114,820€24,700€19.9M1051,09439
Etobicoke Centre117,200€24,700€20.3M701,67459
Etobicoke North115,120€24,700€19.9M13585330
Etobicoke-Lakeshore139,920€24,700€24.2M19173326
Humber River-Black Creek111,200€24,700€19.2M571,95169
Parkdale-High Park104,715€24,700€18.1M701,49653
Scarborough Centre111,560€24,700€19.3M13781429
Scarborough North94,025€24,700€16.3M531,77463
Scarborough Southwest110,095€24,700€19.0M631,74862
Scarborough-Agincourt103,690€24,700€17.9M422,46988
Scarborough-Guildwood102,755€24,700€17.8M841,22343
Scarborough-Rouge Park101,485€24,700€17.5M701,45051
Spadina-Fort York135,400€24,700€23.4M5192619
Toronto Centre116,930€24,700€20.2M26144816
Toronto-Danforth104,555€24,700€18.1M14373126
Toronto-St. Paul's114,095€24,700€19.7M711,60757
University-Rosedale102,385€24,700€17.7M37527310
Willowdale117,130€24,700€20.3M731,60557
York Centre107,355€24,700€18.6M11791833
York South-Weston115,675€24,700€20.0M821,41150

How these numbers are calculated

The zone breakdown uses the same model as the rest of Locifra: E = N x s (residents times average annual spend per resident, from Eurostat/official household-spending statistics) is the zone's spending potential; D = E x fi is the category's share of it. Category businesses within the zone's equivalent radius (r = square root of area/pi, between 0.9 and 6 km from the centre -- no longer a fixed 900 m circle, so a large or sparsely built zone doesn't look falsely empty) give n; sigma = N / n is residents per business, compared against a market threshold for the deficit index delta (if the zone has 20,000+ residents and n is still 0 even with this wider radius, no index is computed: it shows “—”, because a zero that large is usually an OpenStreetMap coverage gap, not a genuine absence of demand). Per-company turnover is not published in this country: there is no open register of individual companies' revenue, so Locifra shows no turnover column at all for this country — that is not a small sample by chance, it is a real limit of the official data that exists.

the full methodology →

Model limits (v0). Model v0: a single average-spend value per zone (based on official statistics, not yet income-adjusted), a radius equivalent to the zone's area (r = square root of area/pi, between 0.9 and 6 km from the centre; neighbouring zones can overlap). If a zone has 20,000+ residents and the count of businesses in this category is still 0 at that radius, no deficit index is computed: it shows “—” instead of a number. No correction for non-residents (tourists, commuters). Scope: local retail and proximity services (B2C) only, not B2B or e-commerce. Per-company turnover is not published in this country: Locifra shows no turnover column at all for this country — not because the sample happens to be small, but because the official data does not exist at company level.

Frequently asked questions

How many businesses tagged “Takeout” are there in Toronto?

According to OpenStreetMap, 2,826 businesses of this type are mapped in Toronto (as of 2026-09-14).

Is per-company turnover available for takeout in Toronto?

No: this country does not publish individual companies' turnover. Locifra instead estimates demand for this category from official population figures and Eurostat household-spending statistics, cross-checked against real business density.

Where is it worth opening a takeout spot in Toronto?

The zone with the highest deficit index is Scarborough-Agincourt (index 88/100, 2,469 residents per business, market threshold 1,409): a higher index means less competition relative to resident demand, not a guaranteed gap.

Other categories in Toronto

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